Libertarian and communist

Loяena Ortega - money

Some people tend to be libertarians or capitalists when they need to offer others help—”each for their own, I need capital, it’s your duty to help yourself.”

The same people, when they need help, tend to be communists/socialists – „I deserve to be helped!”.

There’s a funny saying in Romanian:

„Eu când zic că iau, iau! Dar când zic că dau, numa’ zic!”

„When I say I’ll take, I take! But when I say I’ll give, I’m just saying!”

 

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Euro betting

Olaf Arndt - 7 years .. oh god !!! 😳

I have this algorithm:

  • If both teams are equal or close, bet 0-0;
  • If one is a bit better: 1-0;
  • If one is much better: 2-0;
  • Only when I know almost for sure that there will be lots of goals, I will bet either 1-1 or 2-1.

With this algorithm, I got in the top 15% of players at PC Garage. At Nwradu league, I was in top 1/3.

At times, I trusted my gut more. For example, although the odds were that England would win the cup, I bet on some matches against them.

The conclusion of this story? Don’t bet. Even if you think logically, you can’t beat the odds the platforms give you. You’re much more likely to lose.

Another conclusion – try to think rationally, not emotionally. If the odds are for England, don’t bet on the Netherlands. Go with the math, not with metaphors.

Also, I generally avoid betting; I tried my luck this time.

I like to read about sports; it motivates me. Sometimes, I watch people scoring goals. But to watch entire matches? Not so much.

Also, when betting – most likely, there will be some people pushing their luck more than you. You’ll be better than some of these players by using logic, but it’s very, very hard to be a winner.

Finally, I consider betting to be very damaging to society as a whole. I would forbid all advertising in any form and limit their availability as much as possible.

On my blog, I refuse to write about chess championships in Romania, due to the fact that they tend to be sponsored by betting companies. It’s like I would endorse them, which is not the case.

I didn’t link to the Nwradu league above because a betting company sponsored it. I thought quite a bit if I should even participate or not. It was a free contest – why not?

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Manipulare HotNews.ro

Elias Rovielo - Emoji esculptures, República Subway Station, São Paulo, Brazil

Citat #1: „Potrivit declarației de avere depuse pentru alegerile europarlamentare, Călinescu și-a dat în ultimul an un salariu total de 9.170 de lei, dar a încasat dividende de 1,3 milioane de lei anul trecut, adică circa 260.000 de euro.”

Citat #2: „Dacă câștiga mandatul de eurodeputat, Florin Călinescu ar fi câștigat circa 7.850 de euro pe lună, adică în jur de 94.000 de euro pe an. Asta înseamnă de 50 de ori mai mult decât câștigă în prezent.”

(Via »)

Adică acum câștigă pe an 261.000 € din dividende, iar ca europarlamentar ar fi câștigat 94.000 €.

Adică ar fi câștigat de aproape 3 ori mai puțin decât câștigă acum, exclusiv din dividende.

„Există trei feluri de minciuni: minciunile, minciunile sfruntate și statisticile.” – Mark Twain

Hotnews.ro ales datele cele mai convenabile pentru titlu:
„DOCUMENT. Ce salariu are Florin Călinescu. Actorul tocmai a ratat un salariu de 50 de ori mai mare”.

Este corect, dar metoda de a privi datele e viciată.

Later edit: HotNews.ro au editat știrea, nu mi-au aprobat comentariul. Știrea nouă se încheie așa:

„Dacă câștiga mandatul de eurodeputat, Florin Călinescu ar fi câștigat circa 7.850 de euro pe lună, adică în jur de 94.000 de euro pe an. Asta înseamnă de 50 de ori mai mult decât salariul pe care îl are la propria firmă, cel de sub 2.000 de euro pe ultimul an.

Totuși, dincolo de salariu, actorul a avut venituri subtanțiale din dividende: de 1,3 milioane de lei anul trecut, adică circa 260.000 de euro.”

Titlul rămâne, desigur, acolo nu s-a intervenit.

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The most important users at an event

GPeC SUMMIT 1-2 Noiembrie: 2 zile de eveniment 100% online, 30+ speakeri internaționali și români, 40+ ore de maraton E-Commerce și Digital Marketing cu cei mai buni specialiști

You organize an event. Who is likely to need planning for that event, a long while ago? Likely, the people for whom time is important. Are these people important? Yes? Are they a majority? No, quite the contrary, I expect them to be just a few.

So, organizers look at the numbers and say, „This event will have 100 participants. For around 5% of them, time is important, and it would be better to announce the event in time.

But for 95% of them, it’s better to announce the event close to the date/time of taking place.”

What comes naturally is that people announce events only a few days before they take place.

Who loses? The most important people for whom time organizing is the most important.

GPeC always announces events many months ahead. Others are announced a few days before an event, sometimes even on the event day, and sometimes 2–3 hours before the event.

„See you this evening!”

„OK, since I’m an important person, I understand that you, the event organizer, might not like me so much, and prefer to have people who get notified hours before the event as participants. Sorry about that.”

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BISERICI ȘI SFINȚI – Expoziție de pictură de Leonard Toteanu – 18 – 28 iulie 2024, Sala Acvariu – Muzeul Național al Țăranului Român

BISERICI ȘI SFINȚI - Expoziție de pictură de Leonard Toteanu - 18 – 28 iulie 2024, Sala Acvariu - Muzeul Național al Țăranului Român

Muzeul Național al Țăranului Român vă așteaptă joi, 18 iulie 2024, ora 18.30, la Sala Acvariu, la vernisajul expoziției de pictură a artistului Leonard Toteanu, Biserici și Sfinți.

Expoziția este curatoriată de Maria Constantinescu.

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(ir-)Rational

Olaf Arndt - 7 years .. oh god !!! 😳

Ask someone who likes sports to see a sports match after it ends. (to see a recording)

Ask someone who likes to bet each week to bet a larger sum once a year.

Ask someone who likes to bet to bet the number „8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 38”.

For all of these, you’ll almost surely get a surprised look and a negative response.

Now, why is a football match so important to see live? The end has almost zero value at the end. In this situation, can’t we assume you want to find out the match result quicker? Is this the only reason to watch games, to know the result quickly?

Why would you put much more effort into betting each week when you can bet more rarely, with less effort? Oh, you derive satisfaction knowing you could win. But this is all in your head.

Finally, the numbers „8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 38” have the exact same chance as any other combination. They have an advantage, though – most likely, people wouldn’t pick this combination, so it’s less likely to split the win in case they are winning numbers. If you don’t think these numbers have any chance, don’t play at all.

We tend to do irrational things.

I prefer not to watch sports or bet. I think this is much more rational.

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On the society for asking stupid questions

Society for asking stupid questions

There’s a meme:
Source »

Unfortunately, the Society would be great in the following conditions:

  • If things would always be updated in time;
  • If there were no possible misunderstandings from the communicator;
  • If there were no possible misunderstandings from the receiver;
  • If every possible unspecified thing were clear.

Sometimes, by asking obvious questions with obvious answers, you get surprising answers.

I wouldn’t be so hard on people making sure they understood correctly.

Sometimes, you can ask stupid questions and get smart answers.

When someone asks you „How’s the weather in Năvodari?”, surprisingly!, they might not care about the weather itself.

„I trust I make myself obscure” – from the play „A Man for All Seasons”

A favorite quote of Nicolae Steinhardt.

People might ask obvious questions to get non-obvious answers.

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Școala de Vară GPeC 21-26 august 2024: cinci zile de cursuri intensive de E-Commerce și Digital Marketing, team-building și fun la aer curat de munte

Școala de Vară GPeC 21-26 august 2024

Aflată la a 14-a ediție anuală, Școala de Vară GPeC este singura serie de cursuri intensive de E-Commerce și Marketing Online din România care îmbină utilul cu plăcutul: workshop-uri pe cele mai actuale subiecte din domeniu, unii dintre cei mai buni traineri din Digital-ul românesc și 5 zile de networking, team-building și distracție alături de reprezentanții C-Level ai companiilor din domeniu.

Evenimentul se desfășoară în perioada 21-26 august 2024 la munte, în Moeciu de Sus, prețul biletelor pornind de la 899 EUR + TVA pentru acces la toate cursurile, cazare și mese incluse pentru întreaga perioadă.

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